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EOD Lab

How it works

EOD Lab estimates where a stock may finish the regular trading session — then shows you every signal, weight, and uncertainty band behind that number.

In one pass

  1. 1

    Pull live market data

    We fetch the latest quote, today’s 5-minute bars, and recent daily history for the ticker you enter.

  2. 2

    Score five technical factors

    Trend, EMA momentum, VWAP reversion, RSI, and open-fade each vote with a dollar contribution toward the close.

  3. 3

    Scale by time left in the session

    Early morning leaves more room for surprise; late afternoon shrinks the expected move and tightens the band.

  4. 4

    Clamp and publish

    Extreme projections are soft-capped with ATR/volatility, then shown as predicted EOD, range, and confidence.

The factor blend

Default weights sum to 100%. In the Factor lab you can turn signals off; remaining weights re-normalize so the blend still adds up.

Intraday trend
38% default

Fits a short linear path on recent bars and projects that slope into the remaining session.

EMA momentum
22% default

Compares a fast (8) and slow (21) EMA. When the fast line leads, the blend leans with momentum.

VWAP reversion
18% default

Measures distance from session VWAP. Price stretched away tends to get a mild reversion pull as the day progresses.

Daily RSI
12% default

Uses 14-period daily RSI. Extreme overbought/oversold readings add a small mean-reversion nudge.

Open fade
10% default

Early in the day, extreme moves from the open get a soft fade so one-way open spikes don’t dominate the close estimate.

What the numbers mean

Predicted EOD

The model’s single best estimate of the regular-session close from the current tape.

Confidence band

A soft range around that estimate based on remaining session volatility — not a guarantee.

Confidence %

Higher when data is denser, the tape is calmer, and more of the session is already observed.

Signal breakdown

Each factor’s dollar contribution so you can see what is pushing the close up or down.

Lab modes

Predict

Single-ticker EOD estimate with chart path, factor breakdown, and session context.

Compare

Run the same factor set on two tickers side by side to see relative lean into the close.

Backtest

Replay recent sessions: at ~12:45 ET we freeze the tape, predict the close, then score against the real print.

Watchlist

Tickers you query are pinned locally so you can jump back without retyping.

Important limits

EOD Lab is a technical blend for exploration, not a research desk, fundamental model, or investment advisor.

  • News, earnings, macro prints, and order-flow shocks can move prices far outside the band in minutes.
  • Data may be delayed or incomplete for some symbols; illiquid names are noisier.
  • Backtests use a mid-session snapshot vs actual close — useful for model feel, not proof of edge.
  • Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

Ready to run a ticker through the lab?

Open EOD Lab